Tuesday, December 24, 2019

Jharkhand Assembly Election 2019

 I do not think it will be reasonable and justified to colour defeat with caste brush or communal  stick .

Defeat was caused by over confidence  of BJP leaders,  arrogance of Chief Minister,  division of Hindu votes for various selfish reasons,  polarisation  of Muslim votes,  right thinking people and lovers of BJP and Modi did not cast their votes whereas BJP haters made their devoted efforts for casting of maximum number of their community votes, even sitting MLAs and ministers  did not serve as per expectations  of local people,  they did not even reach voters to listen their problems and so on.

 I am blind Bhakt  of BJP and specifically honourable Modi,  still I try to analyse  and find out what went wrong that despite all best works performed by BJP government  and a good number of rally by top leaders like Modi and Amit Shah we failed to retain even existing  seats.

We will have to understand  ground reality at least in assembly  elections. We are well aware that Muslims will not cast their votes to BJP due to hatredness and dirty campaign by Muslim leaders but we should also be aware why a large junk of tribals,  Hindus, traders,  business  community are also unhappy with local government which worked for full term.

Having said all that mentioned  above I feel relieved and relaxed that vote percentage  of BJP,  AJSU and that of JVM (part of it which  joined BJP after 2014 election) has gone up,  not faced any considerable  damage.  It is true that even full voting of Bhakt and hardcore supporters  of BJP could have saved it from facing such a humiliating defeat .

It was well considered strategy  of BJ P central committee  to test water in Jharkhand without alliance with smaller parties like AJSU,  JDU and LJP which were blackmailing for unrealistic  number of seats.

Obviously if we view entire game of election from future prospect of BJP I feel high command of BJP and all its supporters  have to learn lessons  from the defeat and we should be very much certain that we will win and win in future.

It is fantastic  as well as ridiculous  that people  of the state , leaders of Congress party, RJD and JMM and specially  media experts are glorifying  victory of Hemant soren and his allies knowing very well that vote percentage  of JMM has come down from 20.43 percent in 2014 to 18.72 percent in 2019, vote percentage  of RJD has come down from 3.13 to 2.75 percent. On the contrary vote percentage  of BJP has gone up from 31.26 in 2014 percent to 33.4 percent this year, of AJSU from 3.68 to 8.1 percent.


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बीजेपी झारखंड हार के प्रमुख कारण मेरी नजर में..
1. सरयू राय को टिकट ना देना ( जिन्होंने बीजेपी को झारखंड में फिर से खड़ा किया)
2. आजसू से गठबंधन तोड़ कर ( लोहरदगा आजसू की जीती हुई सीट से अपना प्रत्याशी घोषित करना) अगर गठबंधन बनी रहती तो 19 सीटों का सीधा नुकसान से बचते..!
1.डुमरी ( बीजेपी 36013, आजसू 36840, गठबंधन 71128
2. जुगसलाई बीजेपी 66647, आजसू 46779, गठबंधन 88581
3. ईचागढ़ बीजेपी 38485, आजसू 38836, गठबंधन 57546
4. लोहरदगा बीजेपी 44230, आजसू 39916, गठबंधन 74380
5. नाला बीजेपी 57836, आजसू 16778, गठबंधन 61356
6. जामा बीजेपी 58499, आजसू 13351, गठबंधन 60925
7. रामगढ़ बीजेपी 31011, आजसू 67962, गठबंधन 93083
8. बरकगाओं - बीजेपी 29912, आजसू 63116, गठबंधन 93256
9. खिजरी बीजेपी 78360, आजसू 29091, गठबंधन 83829
10. चक्रधरपुर बीजेपी 31598, आजसू 17232, गठबंधन 43832
11. गांडे बीजेपी 55969, आजसू 15249, गठबंधन 64694
12. मधुपुर  बीजेपी 64883, आजसू 45453, गठबंधन 87624
13. घाटशिला बीजेपी 56807, आजसू 31910, गठबंधन 63531 ...
एवं अन्य सीट जहाँ आजसू के साथ गठबंधन रहने पर सरायकेला, मांडर, तमाड़, जरमुंडी, मनोहरपुर, सिमडेगा में भी जीती जा सकती थी...
3. 1 सीट सरयू राय+1सीट रघुवर दास स्वयं (2 सीट स्वयं खुद पैर पे कुल्हाड़ी मार कर)

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