Monday, December 9, 2013

Who Will Form Government When the Election Result Is Hung

It is unfortunate that verdict of voters in Delhi assembly election is not clear in favour of any party due to multi- party contest . None of political parties has got clear simple majority and as per norms defined in the Constitution, none of them is in a position to form the government without the support of other party and even if it is formed with the support of others, there is no guarantee that the government will be able to last long and it will be able to do business as per their manifesto or as per wishes of voters.

And if somehow or the other a cohesive group is formed media will not hesitate in pulling the pent of leaders because it is media men who are more negative minded than politicians of the country. Duty of the media is not to do constructive job but only to criticize all those who are in the good book of media promoters on genuine or flimsy ground. If BJP or AAP decides to form the government with the support of AAP or BJP or Congress Party, they will blame AAP or BJP of negotiating with the previous stand and if they do not form the government they will accuse parties of wasting the money spent on conduct of election and forcing the country to again spend good money on conduct of fresh election.

Congress Party is silently watching the Draupdi Chirharan sitting in AC room. After all who cares for common men?

 However the era of coalition government is not new and will not be abnormal and astonishing if the similar hung verdict comes in forthcoming Lok Sabha election.

Media like to humiliate specially BJP both ways without keeping in mind the interest of the common men. This is why politicians are keeping away from forming the government. In such ego clash and mad diplomatic stand of two or three political outfits as also due to sticking to six decade old Constitutional provisions, common men are constrained to and are bound to suffer, working of all offices will be adversely affected and in absence of stable government, anti social elements will jeopardize the safety and security and also spoil the economy from many considerations. 

And last but not the least, avoidable expenses on frequent elections, it is ultimately the common men who will have to bear the brunt of tax load. Not only this , it is also bitter truth that in case of multi -cornered contest, a person or a party getting 25% of votes or seats get power whereas large chunk of persons and seats are opposed to persons or party in  power.

It is also a bitter but undeniable truth that due to misrule of big national parties or due to some other reasons like caste and community based policies of local and national leaders, many small parties at state level have taken birth and slowly they are cutting the slice from national parties in overall seat strength in state assemblies or in Parliament. Due to multi cornered contest in general elections, votes are divided and wasted in many small pockets and many such situations has arisen in the past in many states and even in national election that none of contesting political party got the majority. It is also true that national or regional parties managed majority by compromising their own principles and formed the government. In many cases they failed to perform due to inter party rivalries and inconsistencies in their approaches that formed part of coalition government. . Even present UPA government or previous NDA government was also formed after taking support of many small parties. Nation has suffered a lot due to weak government at center or in state.

There is no doubt that bipolar election or election between two or three national parties may be good for the health of the country but great advocate of democracy will perhaps not allow such thing to happen. And when hung verdict merges in election results, some experts may suggest President’s rules in Delhi but I am unable to understand what they will suggest when the same hung verdict comes in forthcoming Parliamentary election.
Now since the era of multi parties has taken root a in all states and at national level too, there is a immediate need to reinvent Constitution to combat such critical situation.

IN case of Delhi, it is very much disheartening that neither Aam Admi Party nor BJP is ready to form the government at Delhi and AAP has even suggest second poll. Due to their own ego or due to constraints posed by the constitutional provisions, they are suggesting second poll even if will cause loss hundreds of crores of rupees. It is not their personal wealth which is wasted in conduct of election.

Not only this, there is no guarantee that verdict of second poll will give clear and simple majority to any political party. These parties may suggest third poll or fourth poll without taking care of huge loss to the country and huge manpower loss.

Such egoistic attitude or such blind worship to existing provisions of the Constitution may prove dangerous.

It is important to say here that forthcoming national election in 2014 may also not give clear verdict to any party due to increase in power of various regional parties in various states. In such position there is no provision of president’s rule and there will be compulsion for forming a coalition government at center even if the coalition government will have to sacrifice some of individual party manifestos.

Obviously advocates of democracy and Parliamentary democracy will have to invent new methodology to run the government in case of hung verdict either at state or at center level to save avoidable expenses on recurrent election.Delhi election may be conducted in few hundred of crore of rupees but if fragmented result comes in Parliamentary election , expenses will be in thousands of crores in addition to loss of manpower time and energy.

IN such position I think  example of Delhi election verdict of hung assembly gives an opportunity to all lovers of democracy to formulate new policy and new solution to meet such critical situation and the same will be fruitful and money saver if the verdict in 2014 parliamentary election also gives the similar fragmented verdict.

Time has come to accept the ground reality and define new course of action now and now only. I condemn all those who are bent upon spoiling the money and energy in frequent elections.

It will be very much praiseworthy that learned, talented and intelligent members of AAP, BJP and Congress Party, constitutional experts, advocates and all relevant persons and groups’ will sit together and decide new path in the larger interest of the country.


I hope media men will stop Chirharan tactics and apply their mind and energy to discover best ways to have stable and effective government which will be for the people and without corruption. Century old Congress Party should also refrain from divisive and anti national diplomacy to remain in power. Country is already suffering from policy paralysis and administrative deficit , rulers should not add fuel to fire and save the country from vaccum of powerful government .

09.12.2013

Following are some suggested lines to come out of  the indecisiveness and uncertainty in Delhi Assembly and in formation of government in Delhi 




Government may be formed jointly by elected MLA of all parties in due proportion to their strength. After all it is the duty of all MLAs to serve their constituencies. Traditionally MLAs of opposition or non-ruling parties simply sit in the assembly and say YES or NO as per advice of their High command. On the other hand MLA of ruling party spend in their constituencies as per their wishes and use government fund without any check point. Members of opposition parties used to oppose only  and that of ruling parties used to support blindly without going into pros and cons of the bill.Members  of ruling or that of opposing party had no option to express their opinion candidly on any bill.This sheep culture has become killer of democratic principles.

This tradition of saying yes and no as per dictates of Party high command is clearly not in unison with the real spirit of democracy and hence totally unjustified. 

As such if all MLAs come together and take part in formation of the government, any bill can be passed on the basis of merit and demerit of the bill. Even MLA of any party (none is ruling and none is opposing) who were hitherto saying Yes or NO as per dictates of High Command may register their views and opinion in favour of or against a bill contrary to prevalent practice. A Member will be real independent of party line on  any bill in new set up as defined above. This will give new life to democracy and I think democracy will function in true sense. All decisions will be taken by majority of members without any prefix of ruling or opposing group.

Rigidity of AAP not to join with BJP or Congress Party is directly humiliation to elected members and similarly stands of BJP and Congress not to join with each other or with AAP is totally against the wishes of voters. AAP should keep in mind that they have 28 members and there are 42 members against them. Similarly BJP has 32 members but 38 are against them. In such position it is not good to give entire power to any group of 35 and leave rest of MLAs on the mercy of GOD. All MLAs are duly elected by democratic principles and all needs to be treat uniformly. For this purpose, parties should suggest to amend Constitution.

In forthcoming Parliamentary election, result may be more fragmented due to multi -party contest. Numbers of regional parties are increasing year after year. These smaller groups will get 10 to 50 seats and blackmail with national bigger parties. As such Delhi experiment will pave the way to invest suitable solution for Hung Parliament in 2014.

I once again request pundits and Constitutional experts to ponder over the crisis deeply and try to put forward a solution in the light of changing situation when formation of coalition government has more or less become inevitable. Country cannot afford election after election to please political parties. After all it is wastage of public money. It is also suggested to allow runners in the election to take part in passing of bill to the extent which is needed for forming majority for number one party in assembly election..

10.12.2013


Delhi Assembly Election Result 2013 Constituency Wise.

Assembly
AC. No
Winner Name
Party
Vote
Runner UP
Party
Vote
Margin
ADARSH NAGAR
4
RAM KISHAN SINGHAL
INC
36985
JAGDEEP RANA
AAP
26929
10056
AMBEDKAR NAGAR
48
ASHOK KUMAR
AAP
36239
KHUSHI RAM CHUNAR
INC
24569
11670
BABARPUR
67
NARESH GAUR
BJP
34180
ZAKIR KHAN
IND
29673
4507
BADARPUR
53
RAMBIR SINGH BIDHURI
BJP
45344
RAM SINGH NETAJI
INC
31490
13854
BADLI
5
DEVENDER YADAV
Ind
54372
VIJAY KUMAR BHAGAT
BJP
31263
23109
BALLIMARAN
22
HAROON YUSUF
INC
32105
MOTI LAL SODHI
BJP
24012
8093
BAWANA
7
GUGAN SINGH
BJP
68407
MANOJ
AAP
42768
25639
BIJWASAN
36
SAT PRAKASH RANA
BJP
35988
DEVINDER KUMAR SEHRAWAT
AAP
33574
2414
BURARI
2
SANJEEV JHA
AAP
60164
SHRI KRISHAN
BJP
49813
10351
CHANDNI CHOWK
20
PARLAD SINGH SAWHNEY
INC
26335
SUMAN KUMAR GUPTA
BJP
18092
8243
CHHATARPUR
46
BRAHM SINGH TANWAR
BJP
49975
BALRAM TANWAR
INC
33851
16124
DELHI CANTT
38
SURENDER SINGH
AAP
26124
KARAN SINGH TANWAR
BJP
25769
355
DEOLI
47
PRAKASH
AAP
51646
GAGAN RANA @ GAGAN SHRI LAL PRADHAN
BJP
34538
17108
DWARKA
33
PARDUYMN RAJPUT
BJP
42734
RAVI KUMAR SURYAN
AAP
37537
5197
GANDHI NAGAR
61
ARVINDER SINGH LOVELY
INC
48897
RAMESH CHAND JAIN
BJP
31936
16961
GHONDA
66
SAHAB SINGH CHAUHAN
BJP
47531
BHISHAM SHARMA
INC
35599
11932
GOKALPUR
68
RANJEET SINGH
BJP
34888
SURENDRA KUMAR
IND
32966
1922
GREATER KAILASH
50
SAURABH BHARADWAJ
AAP
43097
AJAY KUMAR MALHOTRA
BJP
30005
13092
HARI NAGAR
28
JAGDEEP SINGH
AAP
38912
SHYAM SHARMA
SAD
30036
8876
JANAKPURI
30
PROF. JAGDISH MUKHI
BJP
42886
RAJESH RISHI
AAP
40242
2644
JANGPURA
41
MANINDER SINGH DHIR
AAP
29701
TARVINDER SINGH MARWAH
INC
27957
1744
KALKAJI
51
HARMEET SINGH
BJP
30683
DHARAMBIR SINGH
AAP
28639
2044
KARAWAL NAGAR
70
MOHAN SINGH BISHT
BJP
49262
KAPIL MISHRA
AAP
46179
3083
KAROL BAGH
23
VISHESH RAVI
AAP
35818
SURENDER PAL RATAWAL
BJP
34068
1750
KASTURBA NAGAR
42
MADAN LAL
AAP
33609
SHIKHA ROY
BJP
28935
4674
KIRARI
9
ANIL JHA
BJP
72283
RAJAN PRAKASH
AAP
23757
48526
KONDLI
56
MANOJ KUMAR
AAP
36863
DUSHYANT KUMAR GAUTAM
BJP
29373
7490
KRISHNA NAGAR
60
DR. HARSH VARDHAN
BJP
69222
DR VINOD KUMAR MONGA
INC
26072
43150
LAXMI NAGAR
58
VINOD KUMAR BINNY
AAP
43052
ASHOK KUMAR WALIA
INC
35300
7752
MADIPUR
26
GIRISH SONI
AAP
36393
KAILASH SANKLA
BJP
35290
1103
MALVIYA NAGAR
43
SHRI SOMNATH BHARTI
AAP
32258
MS. ARTI MEHRA
BJP
24486
7772
MANGOL PURI
12
RAKHI BIRLA
AAP
44383
RAJ KUMAR CHAUHAN
INC
33798
10585
MATIA MAHAL
21
SHOAIB IQBAL
JD(U)
22732
MIRZA JAVED ALI
INC
19841
2891
MATIALA
34
RAJESH GAHLOT
BJP
70053
GULAB SINGH
AAP
66051
4002
MEHRAULI
45
PARVESH SAHIB SINGH
BJP
37481
NARINDER SINGH SEJWAL
AAP
32917
4564
MODEL TOWN
18
AKHILESH PATI TRIPATHI
AAP
38492
ASHOK GOEL
BJP
30617
7875
MOTI NAGAR
25
SUBHASH SACHDEVA
BJP
42599
KULDEEP SINGH CHANNA
AAP
26578
16021
MUNDKA
8
RAMBIR SHOKEEN
IND
52564
AZAD SINGH
BJP
45430
7134
MUSTAFABAD
69
HASAN AHMED
INC
56250
JAGDISH PRADHAN
BJP
54354
1896
NAJAFGARH
35
AJEET SINGH KHARKHARI
BJP
54358
BHARAT SINGH
IND
44590
9768
NANGLOI JAT
11
MANOJ KUMAR SHOKEEN
BJP
57449
DR. BIJENDER SINGH
INC
46434
11015
NERELA
1
NEEL DAMAN KHATRI
BJP
54622
VIRENDER
BSP
31077
23545
NEW DELHI
40
ARVIND KEJRIWAL
AAP
44269
SHEILA DIKSHIT
INC
18405
25864
OKHLA
54
ASIF MOHD KHAN
INC
50004
IRFANULLAH KHAN
AAP
23459
26545
PALAM
37
DHARM DEV SOLANKI
BJP
42833
BHAVNA GAUR
AAP
34461
8372
PATEL NAGAR
24
VEENA ANAND
AAP
38899
POORNIMA VIDYARTHI
BJP
32637
6262
PATPARGANJ
57
MANISH SISODIA
AAP
50211
NAKUL BHARDWAJ
BJP
38735
11476
R K PURAM
44
ANIL KUMAR SHARMA
BJP
28017
SHAZIA ILMI MALIK
AAP
27691
326
RAJINDER NAGAR
39
R.P.SINGH
BJP
35713
VIJENDER GARG VIJAY
AAP
33917
1796
RAJOURI GARDEN
27
MANJINDER SINGH SIRSA
SAD
41721
A DHANWATI CHANDELA A
INC
30713
11008
RITHALA
6
KULWANT RANA
BJP
73961
HARISH AWASTHI
AAP
48135
25826
ROHINI
13
RAJESH GARG
AAP
47890
JAI BHAGWAN AGGARWAL
BJP
46018
1872
ROHTAS NAGAR
64
JITENDER KUMAR
BJP
49916
MUKESH HOODA
AAP
34973
14943
SADAR BAZAR
19
SOM DUTT
AAP
34079
JAI PARKASH
BJP
33283
796
SANGAM VIHAR
49
DINESH MOHANIYA
AAP
24851
SHIV CHARAN LAL GUPTA
BJP
24074
777
SEELAMPUR
65
CHAUDHARY MATEEN AHMAD
INC
46452
KAUSHAL KUMAR MISHRA
BJP
24724
21728
SEEMA PURI
63
DHARMENDER SINGH
AAP
43199
VEER SINGH DHINGAN
INC
31223
11976
SHAHDARA
62
JITENDER SINGH SHUNTY
BJP
45364
NARENDER NATH
INC
30247
15117
SHAKUR BASTI
15
SATYENDER KUMAR JAIN
AAP
40232
SHYAM LAL GARG
BJP
33170
7062
SHALIMAR BAGH
14
BANDANA KUMARI
AAP
47235
RAVINDER NATH BANSAL
BJP
36584
10651
SULTANPUR MAJRA
10
JAI KISHAN
INC
31458
SANDEEP KUMAR
AAP
30346
1112
TILAK NAGAR
29
JARNAIL SINGH
AAP
34493
RAJIV BABBER
BJP
32405
2088
TIMARPUR
3
HARISH KHANNA
AAP
39650
RAJNI ABBI
BJP
36267
3383
TRI NAGAR
16
NAND KISHORE GARG
BJP
36970
JITENDER SINGH TOMAR
AAP
34161
2809
TRILOKPURI
55
RAJU
AAP
44082
SUNIL KUMAR
BJP
26397
17685
TUGHLAKABAD
52
RAMESH BIDHURI
BJP
34009
SAHI RAM
BSP
28063
5946
UTTAM NAGAR
32
PAWAN SHARMA
BJP
48377
MUKESH SHARMA
INC
42031
6346
VIKASPURI
31
MAHINDER YADAV
AAP
62032
KRISHAN GAHLOT
BJP
61627
405
VISHWAS NAGAR
59
OM PRAKASH SHARMA
BJP
44801
NASEEB SINGH
INC
37002
7799
WAZIRPUR
17
DR MAHANDER NAGPAL
BJP
37306
PRAVEEN KUMAR
AAP
31732
5574

AAP should understand the politics of leadership and power

If the BJP or the Congress suggest something sensible in the Lok Sabha, it remains to be seen if AAP will suppport it or oppose it---Business Standard ---11.12.2013
You have a home, a family, children. You're the king of the castle, you take all the decisions, people in your home believe you are fair, honest, equitable and understanding and compassionate. You have power.

Then your father comes to live with you. Adjustments have to be made. He has his own way of doing things. He's made you what you are, watched you grow, instilled values in you: some, like caste, that you may consider irrelevant in your current circumstances. But a little of the power has to be yielded out of respect. Space has to be made for the ideas he believes in. After all, he may be old-fashioned but that doesn't mean he's diluted his values.

Suddenly you find a child doesn't agree with you and sides with him.

Your father wants to be accepted in your family. He is hurt: till yesterday, he was the boss, he spoke up for you. Now you want to cast him aside and do things the way you think they should be done. You are terrified power will slip out of your hands. You are afraid your children will be out of sync with the reality today if you let your father influence them too much. If the pond is dirty, the fish will be dirty too. But that is the pond, that is society and you can only hope that if you protect your children against evil influences, they will still shine like beacons of purity and light because of what you've taught them, that the influence of your father or anyone else will not be regressive.

That is the politics of leadership and power.

The person who understood this best was Mahatma Gandhi. If he cooperated with India's oppressors, the British at one stage, it was because at that time, that was the right thing to do, bargaining for a better deal for his supporters and his people, while constantly striving to be one of them, from the frugal diet to the loincloth, a lifestyle that everyone identified with. There was no one who was more conscious of the power he had than Gandhi. But he had a Plan about what to do with it.

Isn't politics about when to give up power and when to use it ? Arvind Kejriwal has abdicated power – either he wants absolute power or he wants none of it. He says everyone is corrupt and till the jhadu is allowed to clean, he will not side with anyone. At the same time, there is talk of contesting 70 Lok Sabha seats.

What happens then? If the BJP or the Congress suggest something sensible in the Lok Sabha, will the AAP suppport it or oppose it ? What will they support and what will they oppose ? Or will they just stay out of Parliament until they have the numbers to do what they think is right – whatever that might be ?

It is all very confusing. You can see what AAP doesn't want – but you are not clear what it is they want and how they're going to go about achieving it.

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